5张牌炸金花

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                            1. 美联储加息25个基点 盘点耶伦发布会的三大看点

                              作者: 来源: 2014-12-18 09:46:595张牌炸金花

                               

                              SHIGEJINSHINIAN,BEISHOUSHICHANGZHUMUDEMEILIANCHUSHOUCIJIAXI(25GEJIDIAN)ZHONGYULUODI,ERMEILIANCHUYEZHUXIYELUN(Janet Yellen)YEZHONGSHEN,KUANSONGDEHUOBIZHENGCELICHANGRENGJIANGCHIXU,HOUQIJIAXIJINCHENGHUIJIAOWEIHUANMAN。

                              BEIJINGSHIJIAN12YUE17RILINGCHEN3DIAN,MEILIANCHUFABUZUIXINLIANBANGGONGKAISHICHANGWEIYUANHUI(FOMC)LILVJUEYI,YOUYUJIUYESHICHANGXIANZHIWENTI(underutilization)ZI2015NIANSHAOZAO“MINGXIANDIXIAOTUI” (diminished appreciably),DUITONGZHANGLVHUISHENGZHI2%BAOCHIHELIDEXINXIN,YINCIJUEDINGJIAXI25GEJIDIAN。YELUNQIANGDIAO,BUYAOGUODUKANZHONGSHOUCIJIAXIDEZHONGYAOXING。

                              加息为了央行信誉还是基于经济实情?

                              CIQIAN,SUIRANMEILIANCHUCHIXUXIANGWAIJIESHIFANGJIAXIXINHAO,DANDANGQIANQUANQIUYANGXINGRENGZAIJIXUJIAMAKUANSONG,SIHUMEILIANCHUYOUANBINGBUDONGDELIYOU。NEIMECICIJIAXIJIUJINGWEILEYANGXINGXINYUHAISHICHUYUJINGJISHIQING?

                              ZAISUIHOUJUXINGDEXINWENFABUHUISHANG,YELUNJIESHILEYUANHEMEILIANCHUXUANZEZAICISHIDIANQIDONGJIAXI。TABIAOSHI,MEIGUOLAODONGLISHICHANGBUDUANFUSU,SHIYELVXIAJIANGZHI4.9%;SUIZHEYOUJIAYINSUZHUBUXIAOCHU,TONGZHANGHUIBUDUANXIANG2%DEMUBIAOMAIJIN。

                              CIWAI,YELUNYEZHICHU,HAIWAIFENGXIANRENGCUN,DANYIJINGYOUSUOHUANJIE; JINGUANMEIYUANZOUQIANGDAJILECHUKOU,DANQIANGJINGDEGUONEIXIAOFEIQIDAOLEZHONGHEZUOYONG(MEIGUOGUONEIXIAOFEIZHANZONGXIAOFEIDE85%),YINCIJIAXITIAOJIANYIJINGMANZU。“LAODONGLISHICHANGDEFUSUKENENGHUIZHUBUTUIDONGTONGZHANGTAITOU,RUGUOGUOWANJIAXIHUOJIANGZHISHIMEILIANCHUWEILAICAIQUGENGJIJINDEFANGSHIJIAXILAIBIMIANJINGJIGUORE,ZHEIYEKENENGDAOZHIJINGJIZHONGXIANXIAOTIAO。”

                              5张牌炸金花YELUNYEQIANGDIAO,BUYAOGUODUQIANGDIAOSHOUCIJIAXIDEZHONGYAOXING,WEILAIHUOBIZHENGCELICHANGRENGRANJIANGWEICHIKUANSONG,“WOMENHUIMIQIEJIANCEJINGJIZOUSHI,QUEBAOTONGZHANGHEJIUYESHIXIANWOMENDEZHANGQIMUBIAO。WEILAIJIAXIJINCHENGHUIJIAOWEIHUANMAN,DANHUIGENJUWEILAISHUJUZUOCHUDIAOJIE。”

                              5张牌炸金花FOMCZUIXINJINGJIYUQIXIANSHI,SHANGDIAO2016NIANGDPYUQIZHIZENGZHANG2.4%(9YUELIAOZENG2.3%),XIADIAO2017NIANNIANDILIANBANGJIJINLILVYUQIZHI2.4%(9YUELIAOWEI2.6%),WEICHIZHANGQILILVYUQIZAI3.5%BUBIAN;XIADIAO2016NIANSHIYELVYUQIZHI4.7%(9YUELIAOWEI4.8%),WEICHIZHANGQISHIYELVYUQIZAI4.9%BUBIANLE;XIADIAO2016NIANPCETONGZHANGLVYUQIZHI1.6(9YUELIAOWEI1.7%),PCETONGZHANGLVLIAOZAI2018NIANHUISHENGZHI2%DEMUBIAO。

                              5张牌炸金花(TUWEIFOMCZUIXINJINGJIYUQI)

                              (TUWEI“DIANZHENTU”(dot plot),JIFANYING17WEIMEILIANCHUJUECEZHEMENDUIWEILAILILVZOUXIANGDEYUCE)

                              如何收缩庞大的资产负债表?

                              CHULEJIAXI,MEILIANCHURUHESHOUSUOPANGDADEZICHANFUZHAIBIAOYEBEISHOUSHICHANGGUANZHU,ZHEIYEHUOJIANGYINFASHICHANGBODONG。

                              YELUNBIAOSHI,WEILAIMEILIANCHUHUIZHUBUSHOUSUOZICHANFUZHAIBIAOZHIZHENGCHANGSHUIPING,CONGERYOUXIAOGUANLIHUOBIZHENGCEKUANGJIA。DANTAYEZHICHU,“MEILIANCHURENGZAITANSUOZHANGQIKUANGJIA,DANGQIANSHANGBUNENGQUEDINGWEILAIZICHANFUZHAIBIAODEGUIMO。”

                              5张牌炸金花CIQIAN,JUBAODAOCHENG,MEILIANCHUJIANGCHULI2150YIMEIYUANJIJIANGDAOQIDEGUOZHAI,ERDAO2018NIANDESANNIANZHONGMEILIANCHUYOUJIN8000YIMEIYUANGUOZHAIDAOQI。JIESHI,MEILIANCHUJIANGYIHEZHONGFANGSHIGOUMAIZHEIXIEWEIJISHIQIDUNJIDEGUOZHAIRENGBUDEERZHI。YEYOUJINGJIXUEJIADUI《DIYICAIJINGRIBAO》BIAOSHI,“MEILIANCHUBUHUILIJISUOXIAOGUIMOYUEWEI4WANYIMEIYUANDEZICHANFUZHAIBIAO。ZAIJIAXIDEGUOCHENGZHONG,MEILIANCHUKENENGHUIYONGNIHUIGOUDEFANGSHIMANMANDISUOBIAO,BINGJIANGHUIYIGUANWANGTAIDUWEIZHU,RUGUOSUOBIAODUIYUSHICHANGYINGXIANGBUDA,ZEHUICHIXUJINXING。”

                              5张牌炸金花BENCIFOMCSHENGMINGZHONGYEZHICHU,WEIYUANHUIJIANGWEICHIMEILIANCHUCHIYOUJIGOUZHAIQUAN、JIGOUDIYADAIKUANZHICHIZHENGQUAN(MBS)HEDAOQIGUOZHAIPAIMAIHOUZAITOUZIBENJINDEGUNDONGTOUZIZHENGCE。WEIYUANHUIYUJI,HUIWEICHIGAIZHENGCEZHIZHILIANBANGJIJINLILVSHUIPINGDEZHENGCHANGHUAQUDESHUNLIJINZHAN(10YUEYUANWENZHONGBINGWUCIJU)。GAIZHENGCEXIA,WEIYUANHUIJIANGCHIYOUDALIANGZHANGQIZHENGQUAN,YOUZHUYUWEICHISHICHANGKUANSONGDEJINRONGHUANJING。

                              如何应对高收益债券市场之忧?

                              JINQI,MEIGUOGAOSHOUYIZHAIQUANJINQIRIZIBINGBUHAOGUO,YINCIJIAXIDUIYUJINRONGSHICHANGDEYINGXIANGYESHIZHONGZHONGZHIZHONG。

                              5张牌炸金花SHANGZHOUGAOFENGXIANZHAIQUANJIAGEYIDUDIEZHILIUNIANXINDI,DANGTIANDIEFUCHUANG2011NIANYILAIZUIDA。CHUANQITOUZIZHEMartin WhitmanSUOCHUANGLIDEDISANDADAOZICHANGUANLIGONGSI(Third Avenue)XUANBUZHENGDUIQIXIAGAOSHOUYIZHAIJIJINThird Avenue Focused Credit FundJINXINGQINGSUAN,TONGSHIJINZHITOUZIZHESHUHUI(redemption)。ZHEISHI2008NIANJINRONGWEIJIYILAIMEIGUOGONGTONGJIJINXINGYEZUIDADE“HEITIANE”SHIJIAN。

                              5张牌炸金花DANGBEIWENJIGAOSHOUYIZHAIQUANFENGXIANZHISHI,YELUNBIAOSHI,“YOUYULIUDONGXINGCUOPEI(liquidity mismatch),GONGTONGJIJINSHUHUIYALIHENDA,MEIGUOZHENGJIANHUI(SEC)JINQIYETUICHUXINGUI,WEILAIJIANGDUICIJINXINGGAIGE,YIGAISHANGONGTONGJIJINLIUDONGXINGCUOPEIDEWENTI。”

                              TABIAOSHI,DANGQIANMEIGUOJINRONGXITONGJIAOZHIWEIJIQIANGENGYOURENXING(resilient),QIEYINXINGZIBENJINGENGWEICHONGZU,ZUYIZHICHIQIYEXINDAI。

                              ZAOZAIJINNIAN9YUE,SECYU20NIANHOUSHOUCITUICHUXINZHENG,YAOQIUKAIFANGSHIJIJINJIAQIANGLIUDONGXINGGUANLI。SECGONGBUDEJIHUAZHONGYAOQIUGONGTONGJIJINYIJIETFXIUGAITIAOKUANLAIMANZUSHICHANGZAILIUDONGXINGJINZHANGSHIDESHUHUIYAOQIU,JIHUAYAOQIUSUOYOUJIJINJIANCHAQIGUANLIZICHANDELIUDONGXINGBINGJINXINGFENLEI,CESHIZAIJINZHANGSHIQI,ZHEIXIEZICHANDEBIANXIANSUDU;PINGGU、DINGQIJIANCHABINGGUANLIJIJINDELIUDONGXINGFENGXIAN。HUOBIJIJINBINGBUBAOHANZAISHANGSHUYAOQIUDANGZHONG。

                              5张牌炸金花“ZHEIXIANGGAIGECUOSHIYAOQIUJIJINGENGHAODIGUANLILIUDONGXINGFENGXIAN,TONGSHIYEFUYUJIJINGUANLIRENXINDEGUANLISHOUDUAN,ZENGQIANGJIANGUANCENGDEJIANGUANLIDU。”SECZHUXIMary Jo WhiteDANGSHIBIAOSHI,ZENGQIANGLIUDONGXINGFENGXIANGUANLIJIANGBAOHUSHANGBAIWANTOUZIYUGONGTONGJIJINJIETFTOUZIZHEDELIYI。

                              5张牌炸金花JUXI,JINRONGWEIJIZHIHOU,DAZHONGDUIYINXINGXITONGDEJIEDAIFENGXIANKENENGBOJIDAOZICHANGUANLIXINGYEDEDANYOUSHENGJI,SECCIJUZHENGSHIWEILEFANGZHIZICHANGUANLIXINGYEKENENGCHUXIANTONGLEIFENGXIANDEYIDACUOSHI。

                               

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